New Post
Search
HelpSSA list coming out this friday - your predictions
They are doing this on nameberry right now. I know we can predict the top 10 here on this site and you can post your new top 10 here if you want to.
But to make it more interesting we could do a 'which names will enter the top 100/leave the top 100' game. And see on friday who came closest :P
Which names left the top 100 in 2011?
Which names entered the top 100 in 2011?
Names that were rising quickly in 2011?
Names that lost much of their popularity?
Any new names that entered the top 1000?
Comment on the predictions of the others!
causes for the big rise/fall (TV show character etc)?
But to make it more interesting we could do a 'which names will enter the top 100/leave the top 100' game. And see on friday who came closest :P
Which names left the top 100 in 2011?
Which names entered the top 100 in 2011?
Names that were rising quickly in 2011?
Names that lost much of their popularity?
Any new names that entered the top 1000?
Comment on the predictions of the others!
causes for the big rise/fall (TV show character etc)?
This message was edited 5/9/2012, 7:12 PM
Archived Thread - replies disabled
1
Replies
1
argh this makes me mad. stupid TV announcement.
1
I don't understand why they couldn't just post the data and then have the announcement on Monday anyway. I don't think that many "expectant mothers (and nervous fathers)" are trolling ssa.gov for the new name list.
oh well.
On the bright side, I can work out some really solid predictions?
oh well.
On the bright side, I can work out some really solid predictions?
This message was edited 5/11/2012, 7:51 PM
1
Oh my gosh! I completely forgot about the SSA list! Tomorrow? Yay!
Hmm...Well, sadly, I think I only know 2 babies born in 2011...Kerry Ann and Nicholas Daniel. I think Sophia might take number one...it's been rising. Louisa, I think Louisa will be in the top 1000. It was popular in the late 1800s, and I think a lot of those names are coming back, so...plus, I really like the name!
Hmm...Well, sadly, I think I only know 2 babies born in 2011...Kerry Ann and Nicholas Daniel. I think Sophia might take number one...it's been rising. Louisa, I think Louisa will be in the top 1000. It was popular in the late 1800s, and I think a lot of those names are coming back, so...plus, I really like the name!
1
Does anyone know when?
1
They don't have a magical This Day For Sure, but it almost always comes out before Mother's Day, so it should be tomorrow (since there's no other business days before Mother's Day).
1
I'm lousy at predictions, but I have certain names whose movements--both up and down--I'm keeping my eyes on: Eva, Stella, Lucy, Vivian (mult. spellings), Sylvia, Lydia, Kennedy, Addison & Madison, Cecilia, India, Mae, Lilith, Miley, Gideon, Bentley, Damian, Miles. I'm sure there are others that will leap out at me once I have my hands on the list.
I do think Bailey will drop out of the boys' 1000, but that's my only real prediction. Estella might break into the top 1000. It's almost there now. Same with Truman.
I think it will be a long time before any of the names that scream "Hunger Games is my life!" crack the top 1000--the Katniss/Primrose/Peeta names that have few associations outside the series. They need time to dissassociate from the fad first before most parents will be comfortable using them and then they must go from fewer than 5 uses per year to about 250. Primrose probably has the best chance, since it's also a botanical name, doesn't sound like cat piss or pita bread, and could be found in baby name books prior to Hunger Games' publication, but I still think it will take years.
This is more long term than the 2011 list, but over the next couple years, I plan to watch Anastasia and see if it experiences a little bump in popularity. It's been trending downward over the last decade, but I feel like I've started to see it a little more often in the past few months on lists and in BAs. The only reason I can figure that it would be getting more exposure right now is that it's the name of the heroine (and I use the term loosely) of the popular soft-core BDSM porn series "Fifty Shades." Anastasia has many other associations, though, so it's one parents could use without being labeled fans of the series.
I do think Bailey will drop out of the boys' 1000, but that's my only real prediction. Estella might break into the top 1000. It's almost there now. Same with Truman.
I think it will be a long time before any of the names that scream "Hunger Games is my life!" crack the top 1000--the Katniss/Primrose/Peeta names that have few associations outside the series. They need time to dissassociate from the fad first before most parents will be comfortable using them and then they must go from fewer than 5 uses per year to about 250. Primrose probably has the best chance, since it's also a botanical name, doesn't sound like cat piss or pita bread, and could be found in baby name books prior to Hunger Games' publication, but I still think it will take years.
This is more long term than the 2011 list, but over the next couple years, I plan to watch Anastasia and see if it experiences a little bump in popularity. It's been trending downward over the last decade, but I feel like I've started to see it a little more often in the past few months on lists and in BAs. The only reason I can figure that it would be getting more exposure right now is that it's the name of the heroine (and I use the term loosely) of the popular soft-core BDSM porn series "Fifty Shades." Anastasia has many other associations, though, so it's one parents could use without being labeled fans of the series.
1
Uhm Nevaeh didn't drop like a stone last year. It went up almost 10 places.
1
Oops.
Ninjato asleep at the wheel again, hahaha.
Ninjato asleep at the wheel again, hahaha.
1
I predict that Hazel will rise, but I'm not saying by how much. Unless it falls. But I hope it rises.
1
Which names left the top 100 in 2011?
For girls: Rachel, Paige, Mariah, Valeria, and Jessica will leave.
For boys: Brian, Bryan, Carlos, Cole, and maybe Aidan and Alex.
Which names entered the top 100 in 2011?
For girls: Rylee, Ellie, Scarlett, Harper, Annabelle, maybe Valentina, Nora, and Alice.
For boys: Bentley (blegh), Alejandro, Nolan, Grayson, Bryson, Easton, maybe Micah, Giovanni, Miles.
Names that were rising quickly in 2011?
Not sure, though I think Sophia will displace Isabella as number one.
Any new names that entered the top 1000?
Not in the Top 1000, but I expect at least ten girls named Katniss to pop up on the extended list. Maybe we'll see a few Peetas as well...
For girls: Rachel, Paige, Mariah, Valeria, and Jessica will leave.
For boys: Brian, Bryan, Carlos, Cole, and maybe Aidan and Alex.
Which names entered the top 100 in 2011?
For girls: Rylee, Ellie, Scarlett, Harper, Annabelle, maybe Valentina, Nora, and Alice.
For boys: Bentley (blegh), Alejandro, Nolan, Grayson, Bryson, Easton, maybe Micah, Giovanni, Miles.
Names that were rising quickly in 2011?
Not sure, though I think Sophia will displace Isabella as number one.
Any new names that entered the top 1000?
Not in the Top 1000, but I expect at least ten girls named Katniss to pop up on the extended list. Maybe we'll see a few Peetas as well...
1
I cry when Aidan leaves. I can't stand the thought of Aiden being in the top ten, Ayden in the top 100 and Aidan not there at all. Same with Kaitlyn which is more common than Caitlin. I also fear Jordyn will enter the top 100 whereas Jordan will fall. Oh and Zoey seems to be rising as well as Khloe. I fear we'll see Zooey make the top 1000. I think Valentina won't make the top 100. I hope, I kind of like it.
Not sure about Sophia either but the gap last year was pretty big so I think Isabella will stay where it is. Hahaha yeah, Katniss and Primrose.
Not sure about Sophia either but the gap last year was pretty big so I think Isabella will stay where it is. Hahaha yeah, Katniss and Primrose.
1
I keep expecting it to come early like it did last year. The page is there and ready for it (whereas, if you put in 2012 as the year, it says not found), but there's no data.
Mason might make the top 10 this year. I wish I'd noted it's enormous rise (+4000 babies) from 2009 to 2010, because I didn't mark it on the btn derby (if I even did it, I can't remember and there's no way to check).
Madison leaves the top 10. Addison might make the top 10.
Jacob will stay #1. Isabella or Sophia will be #1 for girls.
Jayden might overtake Michael.
All Leo and Theo names rise.
Beatrix makes the top 1000? Maybe not. Maybe Monroe too?
Flynn goes up, not sure if it makes the top 1000 though (Orlando Bloom's son Flynn was born in January, plus the male lead in Tangled is Flynn Rider).
Harper makes the top 100 (f), Bentley makes the top 100. Violet might make the top 100, or be like 105-110. Jordan, Lyla, Izabella might be around the same.
Rachel leaves the top 100, Brian and Bryan leave the top 100. Kaitlyn (etc) drop, but I'm not sure if she'll exactly get out of the top 100. ALL the Kaitlyn family names will drop.
Bryson will probably replace the Brians. Kayden, Grayson, Miles, Asher, Hudson, Easton end up in the top 100 or just below.
Mason might make the top 10 this year. I wish I'd noted it's enormous rise (+4000 babies) from 2009 to 2010, because I didn't mark it on the btn derby (if I even did it, I can't remember and there's no way to check).
Madison leaves the top 10. Addison might make the top 10.
Jacob will stay #1. Isabella or Sophia will be #1 for girls.
Jayden might overtake Michael.
All Leo and Theo names rise.
Beatrix makes the top 1000? Maybe not. Maybe Monroe too?
Flynn goes up, not sure if it makes the top 1000 though (Orlando Bloom's son Flynn was born in January, plus the male lead in Tangled is Flynn Rider).
Harper makes the top 100 (f), Bentley makes the top 100. Violet might make the top 100, or be like 105-110. Jordan, Lyla, Izabella might be around the same.
Rachel leaves the top 100, Brian and Bryan leave the top 100. Kaitlyn (etc) drop, but I'm not sure if she'll exactly get out of the top 100. ALL the Kaitlyn family names will drop.
Bryson will probably replace the Brians. Kayden, Grayson, Miles, Asher, Hudson, Easton end up in the top 100 or just below.
1
Yeah, I put Mason in my top 10 as well as Addison. I also think Madison might leave and that Chloe and Mia will rise. I think number 1 and number 2 (Isabella, Sophia) will stay the same. The gap between Sophia and Isabella was pretty big last year. I think Emma and Emily will both fall and I hope Abigail will too.
I agree that Khloe will rise and Hannah will fall. I think Sofia will rise too. Jordyn will rise, Jordan will fall. Zoey will rise. Ugh.
Oh and Zooey might make the top 1000. Because of Zooey Deschanel.
I agree that Khloe will rise and Hannah will fall. I think Sofia will rise too. Jordyn will rise, Jordan will fall. Zoey will rise. Ugh.
Oh and Zooey might make the top 1000. Because of Zooey Deschanel.
1
As a mother of an Isabel, I cannot WAIT for Isabella to leave. I would never have imagined such a long name would get or stay so popular. I feel like I hear Sophia just as much-but it will be hard to tell-perhaps with combined spelling (Sofia too?) it will trump Isabella.
I definitely think Mason will move up/enter the top 10 with the Kardashian thing, and i just feel like I hear it a lot.
I'd love to see Emma go away-never been a fan of it.
I definitely think Mason will move up/enter the top 10 with the Kardashian thing, and i just feel like I hear it a lot.
I'd love to see Emma go away-never been a fan of it.
1
I know how you feel about Isabel/Isabella. I named my daughter Victoria at the very beginning of 1982. Throughout the 1960s and 1970s, when I was a child and then a teenager, Victoria was not an overly popular name. It had had a minor vogue in the fifties, but didn't reach higher than 74 in 1952, fell in the early and mid-sixties, and rose somewhat again in the late sixties and early seventies, but didn't reach higher than 68 in 1968, and had fallen again in the late 1970s. I didn't want an overly popular name and was trying to avoid one. Turns out that in 1981, the year during which I was pregnant, Victoria went from 104 in 1980 to 87. I didn't know that, the statistics hadn't even been released yet! Then by the time 1982 was over, it had gone from 87 to 65. How was I to know that at the beginning of 1982? And then it kept rising and rising to finally reach 16 in 1998 and 1999. Humph. It's now fallen again to the low 30s, but could still be termed "popular". I'm curious to see where it is on the new list.
Anyhow, it's half-flattering because I feel that I was a forerunner, but it's also half aggravating because I didn't want a name so popular that it would be number 16. It's also a good example of the curious phenomena that all of a sudden a lot of people at the same time will like a certain name, without knowing that a lot of other people are starting to like it, also. Like my sister hearing the name Heather in 1970, she didn't know anyone named Heather, thought it was pretty and unusual, named her daughter Heather in 1974, and had no idea that thousands of other people were deciding that they liked Heather, too. I don't really understand how and why this happens.
Anyhow, it's half-flattering because I feel that I was a forerunner, but it's also half aggravating because I didn't want a name so popular that it would be number 16. It's also a good example of the curious phenomena that all of a sudden a lot of people at the same time will like a certain name, without knowing that a lot of other people are starting to like it, also. Like my sister hearing the name Heather in 1970, she didn't know anyone named Heather, thought it was pretty and unusual, named her daughter Heather in 1974, and had no idea that thousands of other people were deciding that they liked Heather, too. I don't really understand how and why this happens.
1
Victoria is a beautfiul name, I've always liked it.
I wasn't quite as much of a trendsetter as you, when I named my DD Isabel it was not really everywhere, and actually has not really moved too mcuch, but it was not NEARLY as popular as Isabella, and I didn't really pay attention to how quickly Isabella was rising (at the time it was in the 50s maybe?), and NEVER imagined it would do anything but fall since it was a 4 syllable name and I figured all the kids who got named Isabella would be going by Bella anyway (which they often do, but still). Plus I just saw it as a different name from Isabel-so I didn't give it much thought. Since I am a Caroline and had to struggle with being called Carolyn but felt that was such a different name, I as prepared for the problem-Unfortunately, most people see Isabel/Isabella as interchangeable though-ugh. I knew it would be an issue for her (the confusion, correction) but I never imagined Isabella would get so popular that she would ALWAYS be confused with Isabel.
I do agree with you about the flattering aspect at least, for most of the names that have become uber-popular are that way for a reason-pretty, easy to say, a classic style or history to them (though there are always the strange outliers of ugly names whose popularity I can't seem to figure out)!
Plus, I just wasn't as savvy about naming my first child, I compromised on a traditional name I liked, as I had not yet gotten my feel wet in the naming process.Oh well. She can rename herself later but seems happy enough with it. Sad thing is, I almost named her Lorelei which my husband vetoed, and then my sister went on to use it 3 years later, agh.
I wasn't quite as much of a trendsetter as you, when I named my DD Isabel it was not really everywhere, and actually has not really moved too mcuch, but it was not NEARLY as popular as Isabella, and I didn't really pay attention to how quickly Isabella was rising (at the time it was in the 50s maybe?), and NEVER imagined it would do anything but fall since it was a 4 syllable name and I figured all the kids who got named Isabella would be going by Bella anyway (which they often do, but still). Plus I just saw it as a different name from Isabel-so I didn't give it much thought. Since I am a Caroline and had to struggle with being called Carolyn but felt that was such a different name, I as prepared for the problem-Unfortunately, most people see Isabel/Isabella as interchangeable though-ugh. I knew it would be an issue for her (the confusion, correction) but I never imagined Isabella would get so popular that she would ALWAYS be confused with Isabel.
I do agree with you about the flattering aspect at least, for most of the names that have become uber-popular are that way for a reason-pretty, easy to say, a classic style or history to them (though there are always the strange outliers of ugly names whose popularity I can't seem to figure out)!
Plus, I just wasn't as savvy about naming my first child, I compromised on a traditional name I liked, as I had not yet gotten my feel wet in the naming process.Oh well. She can rename herself later but seems happy enough with it. Sad thing is, I almost named her Lorelei which my husband vetoed, and then my sister went on to use it 3 years later, agh.
This message was edited 5/13/2012, 10:47 AM
1
I said Sophia and Isabella might switch because, yes, there is a big gap, BUT Sophia went up by so many more babies (+3,600 more Sophias in 2010 than in 2009) that if it does it again, it would overtake Isabella.
Isabella had 22,731 and was +509
Sophia had 20,477 and was +3608 (it went up by 21%, which is pretty significant-- Zoe had a similar percentage and it went up like 50 places)
And if that were to repeat (not that it will), there'd be like 23,200 Isabellas and 24,000 Sophias. I think some people might be scared of Isabella now because of Twilight (like they like the name but are afraid people will think she's named after the book)
:S The number of Zooeys doubled from 2009 to 2010, so yeah, it could make the top 1000.
Isabella had 22,731 and was +509
Sophia had 20,477 and was +3608 (it went up by 21%, which is pretty significant-- Zoe had a similar percentage and it went up like 50 places)
And if that were to repeat (not that it will), there'd be like 23,200 Isabellas and 24,000 Sophias. I think some people might be scared of Isabella now because of Twilight (like they like the name but are afraid people will think she's named after the book)
:S The number of Zooeys doubled from 2009 to 2010, so yeah, it could make the top 1000.
1
+for interest
I did what I did with Sophia and Isabella for the top 50 or so names to come up with a new top 25 (if I didn't have work early tomorrow morning, I'd have done more).
I *don't* think this is what the list will actually look like, though-- the change, especially in the boys, is too significant to be one year. But it is interesting nonetheless.
The original rank is in parenthesis
1. Jacob (1)
2. Mason (12)
3. Jayden (4)
4. Ethan (2)
5. William (5)
6. Michael (2)
7. Noah (7)
8. Alexander (6)
9. Aiden (9)
10. Elijah (18)
11. Anthony (10)
12. Daniel (8)
13. Logan (17)
14. Andrew (14)
15. James (19)
16. Liam (30)
17. Joshua (11)
18. David (15)
19. Gabriel (21)
20. Joseph (20)
21. Matthew (16)
22. Christopher (13)
23. Benjamin (22)
24. Samuel (24)
25. Jackson (25)
1. Sophia (2)
2. Isabella (1)
3. Emma (3)
4. Olivia (4)
5. Ava (5)
6. Abigail (7)
7. Emily (6)
8. Chloe (9)
9. Madison (8)
10. Ella (13)
11. Addison (11)
I did what I did with Sophia and Isabella for the top 50 or so names to come up with a new top 25 (if I didn't have work early tomorrow morning, I'd have done more).
I *don't* think this is what the list will actually look like, though-- the change, especially in the boys, is too significant to be one year. But it is interesting nonetheless.
The original rank is in parenthesis
1. Jacob (1)
2. Mason (12)
3. Jayden (4)
4. Ethan (2)
5. William (5)
6. Michael (2)
7. Noah (7)
8. Alexander (6)
9. Aiden (9)
10. Elijah (18)
11. Anthony (10)
12. Daniel (8)
13. Logan (17)
14. Andrew (14)
15. James (19)
16. Liam (30)
17. Joshua (11)
18. David (15)
19. Gabriel (21)
20. Joseph (20)
21. Matthew (16)
22. Christopher (13)
23. Benjamin (22)
24. Samuel (24)
25. Jackson (25)
1. Sophia (2)
2. Isabella (1)
3. Emma (3)
4. Olivia (4)
5. Ava (5)
6. Abigail (7)
7. Emily (6)
8. Chloe (9)
9. Madison (8)
10. Ella (13)
11. Addison (11)
This message was edited 5/9/2012, 10:17 PM
1
Mine:
Which names left the top 100 in 2011?
Rachel - it needs a good rest
Valeria - I hope, really dislike this
Kaitlyn - this needs a loooong break and I still can't believe this is more common than Caitlin
Madelyn - hopefully, ugly spelling
Jessica - it's about time
Brian and Bryan - so dated
Aidan - why? this is the best spelling
Which names entered the top 100 in 2011?
Harper - has been on the rise for years
Annabelle - but I really hope it doesn't
Scarlett - Scarlett Johannsson really helped this name become popular
Jordyn - ugh and I'll never understand why
Ellie - already in the top 100 in many states
Lilly - ugh hate this spelling, Lily and Lillie look more balanced
London - yup
Bentley - definitely
Nolan and Micah - possibly
Names that were rising quickly in 2011?
Quinn - unfortunatley because I love it. Glee's fault, I guess.
Lucy - close to Lily and fits right in with current trends
Serenity and Cadence - people seem to love these right now
Ainsley and Hadley - kind of sad because I like them
ugly spellings such as Jordyn, Zooey, Zoey and Khloe or even Kloe, Cloe and Kloey
Penelope
Which names left the top 100 in 2011?
Rachel - it needs a good rest
Valeria - I hope, really dislike this
Kaitlyn - this needs a loooong break and I still can't believe this is more common than Caitlin
Madelyn - hopefully, ugly spelling
Jessica - it's about time
Brian and Bryan - so dated
Aidan - why? this is the best spelling
Which names entered the top 100 in 2011?
Harper - has been on the rise for years
Annabelle - but I really hope it doesn't
Scarlett - Scarlett Johannsson really helped this name become popular
Jordyn - ugh and I'll never understand why
Ellie - already in the top 100 in many states
Lilly - ugh hate this spelling, Lily and Lillie look more balanced
London - yup
Bentley - definitely
Nolan and Micah - possibly
Names that were rising quickly in 2011?
Quinn - unfortunatley because I love it. Glee's fault, I guess.
Lucy - close to Lily and fits right in with current trends
Serenity and Cadence - people seem to love these right now
Ainsley and Hadley - kind of sad because I like them
ugly spellings such as Jordyn, Zooey, Zoey and Khloe or even Kloe, Cloe and Kloey
Penelope
This message was edited 5/11/2012, 12:56 PM
1