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HelpRe: SSA list coming out this friday - your predictions
in reply to a message by Lily
I keep expecting it to come early like it did last year. The page is there and ready for it (whereas, if you put in 2012 as the year, it says not found), but there's no data.
Mason might make the top 10 this year. I wish I'd noted it's enormous rise (+4000 babies) from 2009 to 2010, because I didn't mark it on the btn derby (if I even did it, I can't remember and there's no way to check).
Madison leaves the top 10. Addison might make the top 10.
Jacob will stay #1. Isabella or Sophia will be #1 for girls.
Jayden might overtake Michael.
All Leo and Theo names rise.
Beatrix makes the top 1000? Maybe not. Maybe Monroe too?
Flynn goes up, not sure if it makes the top 1000 though (Orlando Bloom's son Flynn was born in January, plus the male lead in Tangled is Flynn Rider).
Harper makes the top 100 (f), Bentley makes the top 100. Violet might make the top 100, or be like 105-110. Jordan, Lyla, Izabella might be around the same.
Rachel leaves the top 100, Brian and Bryan leave the top 100. Kaitlyn (etc) drop, but I'm not sure if she'll exactly get out of the top 100. ALL the Kaitlyn family names will drop.
Bryson will probably replace the Brians. Kayden, Grayson, Miles, Asher, Hudson, Easton end up in the top 100 or just below.
Layla, Zoe, Sofia to top 20? Ashley, Brianna, Sarah, Alyssa, Alexis, Samantha? fall to make room.
Khloe probably keeps rising.
Hannah falls? Maybe? :D
Pearl rises significantly (not because of the Osborne baby, obviously, but it was going up anyway).
Penelope makes or gets very close to the top 100.
Stella makes the top 50?
It's too difficult to really say whats going to go in and out of the top 1000-- the bottom of the list is 200-250 kids with the name.
:P I'm all over the place, it might just be easier to rewrite the top 100.
Mason might make the top 10 this year. I wish I'd noted it's enormous rise (+4000 babies) from 2009 to 2010, because I didn't mark it on the btn derby (if I even did it, I can't remember and there's no way to check).
Madison leaves the top 10. Addison might make the top 10.
Jacob will stay #1. Isabella or Sophia will be #1 for girls.
Jayden might overtake Michael.
All Leo and Theo names rise.
Beatrix makes the top 1000? Maybe not. Maybe Monroe too?
Flynn goes up, not sure if it makes the top 1000 though (Orlando Bloom's son Flynn was born in January, plus the male lead in Tangled is Flynn Rider).
Harper makes the top 100 (f), Bentley makes the top 100. Violet might make the top 100, or be like 105-110. Jordan, Lyla, Izabella might be around the same.
Rachel leaves the top 100, Brian and Bryan leave the top 100. Kaitlyn (etc) drop, but I'm not sure if she'll exactly get out of the top 100. ALL the Kaitlyn family names will drop.
Bryson will probably replace the Brians. Kayden, Grayson, Miles, Asher, Hudson, Easton end up in the top 100 or just below.
Layla, Zoe, Sofia to top 20? Ashley, Brianna, Sarah, Alyssa, Alexis, Samantha? fall to make room.
Khloe probably keeps rising.
Hannah falls? Maybe? :D
Pearl rises significantly (not because of the Osborne baby, obviously, but it was going up anyway).
Penelope makes or gets very close to the top 100.
Stella makes the top 50?
It's too difficult to really say whats going to go in and out of the top 1000-- the bottom of the list is 200-250 kids with the name.
:P I'm all over the place, it might just be easier to rewrite the top 100.
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Replies
Yeah, I put Mason in my top 10 as well as Addison. I also think Madison might leave and that Chloe and Mia will rise. I think number 1 and number 2 (Isabella, Sophia) will stay the same. The gap between Sophia and Isabella was pretty big last year. I think Emma and Emily will both fall and I hope Abigail will too.
I agree that Khloe will rise and Hannah will fall. I think Sofia will rise too. Jordyn will rise, Jordan will fall. Zoey will rise. Ugh.
Oh and Zooey might make the top 1000. Because of Zooey Deschanel.
I agree that Khloe will rise and Hannah will fall. I think Sofia will rise too. Jordyn will rise, Jordan will fall. Zoey will rise. Ugh.
Oh and Zooey might make the top 1000. Because of Zooey Deschanel.
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As a mother of an Isabel, I cannot WAIT for Isabella to leave. I would never have imagined such a long name would get or stay so popular. I feel like I hear Sophia just as much-but it will be hard to tell-perhaps with combined spelling (Sofia too?) it will trump Isabella.
I definitely think Mason will move up/enter the top 10 with the Kardashian thing, and i just feel like I hear it a lot.
I'd love to see Emma go away-never been a fan of it.
I definitely think Mason will move up/enter the top 10 with the Kardashian thing, and i just feel like I hear it a lot.
I'd love to see Emma go away-never been a fan of it.
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I know how you feel about Isabel/Isabella. I named my daughter Victoria at the very beginning of 1982. Throughout the 1960s and 1970s, when I was a child and then a teenager, Victoria was not an overly popular name. It had had a minor vogue in the fifties, but didn't reach higher than 74 in 1952, fell in the early and mid-sixties, and rose somewhat again in the late sixties and early seventies, but didn't reach higher than 68 in 1968, and had fallen again in the late 1970s. I didn't want an overly popular name and was trying to avoid one. Turns out that in 1981, the year during which I was pregnant, Victoria went from 104 in 1980 to 87. I didn't know that, the statistics hadn't even been released yet! Then by the time 1982 was over, it had gone from 87 to 65. How was I to know that at the beginning of 1982? And then it kept rising and rising to finally reach 16 in 1998 and 1999. Humph. It's now fallen again to the low 30s, but could still be termed "popular". I'm curious to see where it is on the new list.
Anyhow, it's half-flattering because I feel that I was a forerunner, but it's also half aggravating because I didn't want a name so popular that it would be number 16. It's also a good example of the curious phenomena that all of a sudden a lot of people at the same time will like a certain name, without knowing that a lot of other people are starting to like it, also. Like my sister hearing the name Heather in 1970, she didn't know anyone named Heather, thought it was pretty and unusual, named her daughter Heather in 1974, and had no idea that thousands of other people were deciding that they liked Heather, too. I don't really understand how and why this happens.
Anyhow, it's half-flattering because I feel that I was a forerunner, but it's also half aggravating because I didn't want a name so popular that it would be number 16. It's also a good example of the curious phenomena that all of a sudden a lot of people at the same time will like a certain name, without knowing that a lot of other people are starting to like it, also. Like my sister hearing the name Heather in 1970, she didn't know anyone named Heather, thought it was pretty and unusual, named her daughter Heather in 1974, and had no idea that thousands of other people were deciding that they liked Heather, too. I don't really understand how and why this happens.
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Victoria is a beautfiul name, I've always liked it.
I wasn't quite as much of a trendsetter as you, when I named my DD Isabel it was not really everywhere, and actually has not really moved too mcuch, but it was not NEARLY as popular as Isabella, and I didn't really pay attention to how quickly Isabella was rising (at the time it was in the 50s maybe?), and NEVER imagined it would do anything but fall since it was a 4 syllable name and I figured all the kids who got named Isabella would be going by Bella anyway (which they often do, but still). Plus I just saw it as a different name from Isabel-so I didn't give it much thought. Since I am a Caroline and had to struggle with being called Carolyn but felt that was such a different name, I as prepared for the problem-Unfortunately, most people see Isabel/Isabella as interchangeable though-ugh. I knew it would be an issue for her (the confusion, correction) but I never imagined Isabella would get so popular that she would ALWAYS be confused with Isabel.
I do agree with you about the flattering aspect at least, for most of the names that have become uber-popular are that way for a reason-pretty, easy to say, a classic style or history to them (though there are always the strange outliers of ugly names whose popularity I can't seem to figure out)!
Plus, I just wasn't as savvy about naming my first child, I compromised on a traditional name I liked, as I had not yet gotten my feel wet in the naming process.Oh well. She can rename herself later but seems happy enough with it. Sad thing is, I almost named her Lorelei which my husband vetoed, and then my sister went on to use it 3 years later, agh.
I wasn't quite as much of a trendsetter as you, when I named my DD Isabel it was not really everywhere, and actually has not really moved too mcuch, but it was not NEARLY as popular as Isabella, and I didn't really pay attention to how quickly Isabella was rising (at the time it was in the 50s maybe?), and NEVER imagined it would do anything but fall since it was a 4 syllable name and I figured all the kids who got named Isabella would be going by Bella anyway (which they often do, but still). Plus I just saw it as a different name from Isabel-so I didn't give it much thought. Since I am a Caroline and had to struggle with being called Carolyn but felt that was such a different name, I as prepared for the problem-Unfortunately, most people see Isabel/Isabella as interchangeable though-ugh. I knew it would be an issue for her (the confusion, correction) but I never imagined Isabella would get so popular that she would ALWAYS be confused with Isabel.
I do agree with you about the flattering aspect at least, for most of the names that have become uber-popular are that way for a reason-pretty, easy to say, a classic style or history to them (though there are always the strange outliers of ugly names whose popularity I can't seem to figure out)!
Plus, I just wasn't as savvy about naming my first child, I compromised on a traditional name I liked, as I had not yet gotten my feel wet in the naming process.Oh well. She can rename herself later but seems happy enough with it. Sad thing is, I almost named her Lorelei which my husband vetoed, and then my sister went on to use it 3 years later, agh.
This message was edited 5/13/2012, 10:47 AM
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I said Sophia and Isabella might switch because, yes, there is a big gap, BUT Sophia went up by so many more babies (+3,600 more Sophias in 2010 than in 2009) that if it does it again, it would overtake Isabella.
Isabella had 22,731 and was +509
Sophia had 20,477 and was +3608 (it went up by 21%, which is pretty significant-- Zoe had a similar percentage and it went up like 50 places)
And if that were to repeat (not that it will), there'd be like 23,200 Isabellas and 24,000 Sophias. I think some people might be scared of Isabella now because of Twilight (like they like the name but are afraid people will think she's named after the book)
:S The number of Zooeys doubled from 2009 to 2010, so yeah, it could make the top 1000.
Isabella had 22,731 and was +509
Sophia had 20,477 and was +3608 (it went up by 21%, which is pretty significant-- Zoe had a similar percentage and it went up like 50 places)
And if that were to repeat (not that it will), there'd be like 23,200 Isabellas and 24,000 Sophias. I think some people might be scared of Isabella now because of Twilight (like they like the name but are afraid people will think she's named after the book)
:S The number of Zooeys doubled from 2009 to 2010, so yeah, it could make the top 1000.
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+for interest
I did what I did with Sophia and Isabella for the top 50 or so names to come up with a new top 25 (if I didn't have work early tomorrow morning, I'd have done more).
I *don't* think this is what the list will actually look like, though-- the change, especially in the boys, is too significant to be one year. But it is interesting nonetheless.
The original rank is in parenthesis
1. Jacob (1)
2. Mason (12)
3. Jayden (4)
4. Ethan (2)
5. William (5)
6. Michael (2)
7. Noah (7)
8. Alexander (6)
9. Aiden (9)
10. Elijah (18)
11. Anthony (10)
12. Daniel (8)
13. Logan (17)
14. Andrew (14)
15. James (19)
16. Liam (30)
17. Joshua (11)
18. David (15)
19. Gabriel (21)
20. Joseph (20)
21. Matthew (16)
22. Christopher (13)
23. Benjamin (22)
24. Samuel (24)
25. Jackson (25)
1. Sophia (2)
2. Isabella (1)
3. Emma (3)
4. Olivia (4)
5. Ava (5)
6. Abigail (7)
7. Emily (6)
8. Chloe (9)
9. Madison (8)
10. Ella (13)
11. Addison (11)
I did what I did with Sophia and Isabella for the top 50 or so names to come up with a new top 25 (if I didn't have work early tomorrow morning, I'd have done more).
I *don't* think this is what the list will actually look like, though-- the change, especially in the boys, is too significant to be one year. But it is interesting nonetheless.
The original rank is in parenthesis
1. Jacob (1)
2. Mason (12)
3. Jayden (4)
4. Ethan (2)
5. William (5)
6. Michael (2)
7. Noah (7)
8. Alexander (6)
9. Aiden (9)
10. Elijah (18)
11. Anthony (10)
12. Daniel (8)
13. Logan (17)
14. Andrew (14)
15. James (19)
16. Liam (30)
17. Joshua (11)
18. David (15)
19. Gabriel (21)
20. Joseph (20)
21. Matthew (16)
22. Christopher (13)
23. Benjamin (22)
24. Samuel (24)
25. Jackson (25)
1. Sophia (2)
2. Isabella (1)
3. Emma (3)
4. Olivia (4)
5. Ava (5)
6. Abigail (7)
7. Emily (6)
8. Chloe (9)
9. Madison (8)
10. Ella (13)
11. Addison (11)
This message was edited 5/9/2012, 10:17 PM
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